Friday, November 9, 2018


Isaac Newton observed an apple falling from a tree and it got him thinking about the attraction of earth to the objects that cling to it's surface.  Over centuries humans have observed birds flying through the air, seeming to defy gravity, and sought to join them.  We have observed the reaction the human body has to different plants and chemicals, or combinations of them, seeking to relieve pain, suffering and even delay death.

In all of these cases we have first developed and then followed a way of planning and executing a process so we don't lose valuable information, and can evaluate our findings to make sure we are not just seeing what we want to see.  It goes basically like this:

  1. Have a question.  They call it a hypothesis.  What will happen to A if we add C?
  2. Observe what happens.  Sometimes it happens naturally and all you have to do is go out to where it happens and watch it. If your question is "what happens to a zebra when a hungry lion sees it?", you go out to the plains of Africa and watch a pack of zebras and wait for a lion to show up.  Sometimes you have to add C to A yourself to see what happens.  This is an experiment. In these cases you have to have a control.  A control is observing A without C added so you know what A does by itself.  This way anything you observe when adding C to A you know C is causing it and what is just A being A.  You do it more than once.  It is always possible there was a variable you did not account for, if you don't get the same result, you determine what was different.
  3. Document. Document EVERY SINGLE TINY DETAIL. Any little thing could be of huge importance.  If you get a different result, a little detail may tell you what you have to change, or could be a HUGE discovery. These details are also extremely importance to the next step.
  4. Publish your findings. A relevant publication prints your findings for other qualified people to look over, question and replicate.  This is vital.  If you do a big study and group of experiments on colour mixing and publish a paper on mixing blue and yellow to get orange other QUALIFIED scientists in the field will try to recreate your experiments. When they are only able to get green from mixing blue and yellow, they can go over your data and point out where the difference is and together you may find an error, or a whole new way to mix colours to get orange.  In either case, something has been learned.
There is a mountain of detail in the process that is not showing in the 4 points on here, but the process is largely the same across the spectrum of legitimate scientific investigations.

The same basic process has been followed over and over again on the many fronts of a very complex investigation into the symptoms of climate change, the process causing it, what the future likely holds and what can be done to minimise and eventually reverse what is going on. It is so big, many people just can't grasp it.  Everything you need to try and grasp climate change, is out in the open.  But you can't use a microscope, you have to look at the whole thing.

We have to get past arguing about it.  We have to trust the science that has been done for now and start changing our focus.  We need the innovators to focus on new fuels, the new process for getting things moved around keeping people on board.  It's not the earth we need to save by addressing climate change, it's us.

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